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KalshiMay 5, 20262 days left

Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026?

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

7¢
$20K volume
$14K liquidity
71% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$29K

Best sibling

Above 50 16¢

Ticker

KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T60

Price history

7¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 28, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 7¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
6¢148
5¢178
4¢161
3¢2.0K
2¢450
AskSize
7¢1.3K
8¢1.3K
9¢3
10¢902
11¢2

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 5, 2026

Identifier

KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T60

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

16

EE

7.000

Overround

0.8%

LAS

0.17

Regime

neutral

Score

0.475

Full indicator table

16
7.000
Overround
0.8%
LAS
0.17

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