SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 202653 days left

Will Trump say "Fort Trump" before Jul 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 34¢ spread.

Implied probability

43¢
$333 volume
$144 liquidity
62% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$533

Best sibling

Trump Airport 37¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01-FORT

Market snapshot

Fort Trump in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump say "Fort Trump" before Jul 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 43¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $7. In the Will Trump say " family, this outcome ranks #6 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Fort Trump

Family rank

#6 of 8

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

43¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jul 1, 2026

24h volume

$7

Family context

8 outcomes · Will Trump say "

Quote range

3¢-65¢

Family leader

Trump Kennedy Center 65¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01-FORT. Family volume: $533.

Price history

43¢ current

+37¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 41¢

Kalshi
34¢ spread
BidSize
7¢5
6¢100
5¢75
4¢150
2¢10
AskSize
41¢1
42¢29
43¢186
45¢75
46¢150

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Fort Trump, or a plural or possessive form of Fort Trump, is stated by Donald Trump after April 1, 2026 at 12:00pm ET and before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYTRUMP-26JUL01-FORT

Event family

Will Trump say ".

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$533

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Trump Kennedy Center 65¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

political

Full indicator table

9086.3%
51.5%
Adj IY
0%
13
RV
4770%
VR
7.45
IAR
3.1/h
Overround
1.7%
LAS
4.86

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index