SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 2026

Will Trump say "World Cup" before Jun 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

99¢
$10K volume
$10K liquidity
24% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$40K

Best sibling

Dead Country 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-WORL

Price history

99¢ current

+94¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

99 / 100¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
99¢157K
95¢25
94¢50
88¢1.0K
85¢20
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If World Cup, or a plural or possessive form of World Cup, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-WORL

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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