SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Trump say "Epstein" before Jun 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

87¢
$854 volume
$806 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$40K

Best sibling

Dead Country 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-EPST

Price history

87¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

87 / 88¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
87¢5
86¢182
85¢21
80¢100
75¢66
AskSize
88¢66
89¢50
91¢84
95¢100
97¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Epstein, or a plural or possessive form of Epstein, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-EPST

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

188.2%

IY (No)

8430.9%

Adj IY

8431%

CRI

7

RV

126%

VR

0.91

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

188.2%
8430.9%
Adj IY
8431%
7
RV
126%
VR
0.91
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
9.9%

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