SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Jun 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 13¢ spread.

Implied probability

33¢
$622 volume
$356 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$40K

Best sibling

Dead Country 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-MAKE

Price history

33¢ current

+28¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 47¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
34¢6
33¢40
32¢95
31¢58
30¢22
AskSize
47¢45
48¢99
49¢25
50¢50
67¢250

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Make Iran Great Again, or a plural or possessive form of Make Iran Great Again, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-MAKE

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2445.5%

IY (No)

649.0%

Adj IY

2374%

CRI

2

RV

1104%

VR

2.59

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2445.5%
649.0%
Adj IY
2374%
2
RV
1104%
VR
2.59
IAR
2.1/h
Overround
9.9%
LAS
0.03

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