What is the current probability for "Will Trump say "Third Term" before Jun 1, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 34¢ (34% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 1, 2026. 29 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Trump say "Third Term" before Jun 1, 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2443.7% and 648.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Trump say "Third Term" before Jun 1, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Trump say "Third Term" before Jun 1, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

34¢

$657 volume

$602 liquidity

2% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$40K

Best sibling

Dead Country 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-THIR

Price history

34¢ current

+29¢

May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 36¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

34¢58

30¢59

28¢25

27¢50

5¢98

AskSize

36¢60

40¢210

41¢200

42¢265

43¢25

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Third Term, or a plural or possessive form of Third Term, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-THIR

Event family

Will Trump say ".

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$40K

Outcomes

Highest price

Dead Country 99¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Third Term

kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-THIR

34¢$400$4000.0

Dead Country

kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-DEAD