SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 31, 202627 days left

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$193 volume
$6K liquidity
1% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$35K

Best sibling

June 30 4¢

Ticker

0xe1d074e4…97e0

Price history

3¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 27, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 6¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢52
100¢80
100¢48
100¢10
100¢100
100¢19
0¢175K
0¢14K
AskSize
6¢100
6¢1.0K
6¢935
6¢1.3K
6¢705
7¢50
8¢100
10¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 31, 2026

Identifier

0xe1d074e4…97e0

Event family

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$35K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

May 31 4¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

31909.1%

IY (No)

55.4%

Adj IY

31909%

CRI

24

RV

2529%

VR

1.21

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

31909.1%
55.4%
Adj IY
31909%
24
RV
2529%
VR
1.21
IAR
0.8/h

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index