What is the current probability for "Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 43¢ (43% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 20, 2029. 993 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 48.7% and 27.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJan 20, 2029993 days left

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

43¢

$44K volume

$32K liquidity

1156% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

Sean Duffy 2¢

Ticker

KXCABOUT-26APR20-TGAB

Price history

43¢ current

+18¢

Apr 20, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 44¢

Kalshi

1¢ spread

BidSize

43¢131

42¢387

41¢29

40¢200

31¢11

AskSize

44¢14

45¢587

46¢1.1K

47¢362

48¢303

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Tulsi Gabbard is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after Apr 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Identifier

KXCABOUT-26APR20-TGAB

Event family

KXCABOUT-26APR20.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

Highest price

Tulsi Gabbard 43¢

Current share

36%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Tulsi Gabbard

kalshi · KXCABOUT-26APR20-TGAB

43¢$1K$1K0.0

Sean Duffy