Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 57% probability that Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 57¢ on Polymarket, closing October 1, 2026.
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57¢Bid/Ask 18/97¢·Spread 79¢·Vol $0·OI $246.451·Closes Oct 1, 2026·162d remaining
0x9ddae4ff01088555d2a7f99abf31532627c97e7452ec2a423f15da4076cce215
7-day price809 snapshots · 2 regime
76¢59¢ current
Apr 1230¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
79¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 5:42:06 PM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 5:38:17 PM
Trade
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sf trade 0x9ddae4ff01088555d2a7f99abf31532627c97e7452ec2a423f15da4076cce215 yes 100