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KalshiJun 1, 202620 days left

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

43¢
$17K volume
$9K liquidity
59% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$29K

Best sibling

Above $1.70 19¢

Ticker

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-160

Market snapshot

Above $1.60 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 43¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2K. In the Will XRP trimmed mean be above $ family, this outcome ranks #1 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above $1.60

Family rank

#1 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

43¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

24h volume

$2K

Family context

7 outcomes · Will XRP trimmed mean be above $

Quote range

7¢-40¢

Family leader

Above $1.60 40¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-160. Family volume: $29K.

Price history

43¢ current

+32¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 45¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
40¢188
39¢500
38¢324
37¢500
36¢3.0K
AskSize
45¢500
46¢53
48¢319
49¢38
50¢3.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 1.60, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-160

SF Signal
SF Index
2353.07
Regime
taker

Event family

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$29K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $1.60 40¢

Current share

7%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2689.2%

IY (No)

1195.2%

Adj IY

2353%

CRI

2

RV

1180%

VR

1.96

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

2689.2%
1195.2%
Adj IY
2353%
2
RV
1180%
VR
1.96
IAR
5.2/h
Overround
0.1%
LAS
0.13

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.