SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202620 days left

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.70 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

19¢
$20K volume
$11K liquidity
66% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$30K

Best sibling

Above $2.00 7¢

Ticker

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-170

Market snapshot

Above $1.70 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.70 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 19¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $11K. In the Will XRP trimmed mean be above $ family, this outcome ranks #3 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above $1.70

Family rank

#3 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

19¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

24h volume

$11K

Family context

7 outcomes · Will XRP trimmed mean be above $

Quote range

7¢-58¢

Family leader

Above $1.50 58¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-170. Family volume: $30K.

Price history

19¢ current

+8¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 20¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
19¢35
18¢501
17¢54
16¢469
15¢3.0K
AskSize
20¢64
21¢1.1K
22¢500
25¢216
29¢3.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 1.70, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-170

SF Signal
SF Index
7230.04
Regime
taker

Event family

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$30K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $1.50 58¢

Current share

38%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7631.4%

IY (No)

419.9%

Adj IY

7230%

CRI

4

RV

2497%

VR

2.65

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

7631.4%
419.9%
Adj IY
7230%
4
RV
2497%
VR
2.65
IAR
5.1/h
Overround
0.6%
LAS
0.05

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.