Will Carol Burnett win Comedy Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards

30-day trend

Analysis

This 14% probability reflects the assessment that Carol Burnett will win the Emmy Award for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series. The prediction is based on limited trading activity on Kalshi with 20 contracts. The main factors driving this relatively low probability likely include competition from established and emerging actresses in comedy, the strength of competing performances in the category, and potential shifts in Emmy voter preferences. The 2026 Emmy Awards ceremony, scheduled for September, will definitively resolve this market when the winner is announced. Until then, the probability may shift based on critical reception of nominated shows, industry momentum, and voting patterns from Emmy voters.

• ›Carol Burnett's nominee status and whether her show/performance receives official Emmy recognition
• ›The competitive field of other supporting actress nominees and their relative critical acclaim heading into voting
• ›Historical voting patterns for the Comedy Supporting Actress category and whether this year favors established or newer talent
• ›Trading volume and contract prices on prediction markets, which currently show 20 contracts at 14% on Kalshi
• ›The Emmy voting period (typically June-July for the September ceremony) when industry voters cast ballots

What moved the line

• Apr 28Hannah Einbinder↓3pp51→48¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds