SimpleFunctions
ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (May 4, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
Winner-take-all · 3 outcomes3 contractsKalshiclosed 22 min agoCloses May 3, 2026 · 0d

Odense BK vs. Silkeborg IF

Leader sits at 46% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 29%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

46%

Silkeborg

runner-up 29¢leader 46¢

Outcomes

3

winner-take-all

Runner-up

29¢

Tie

Spread

17pp

contested

24h volume

$58K

liquid

Closes

May 3, 2026

0 days

Venue

Kalshi

3 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodaySilkeborg: 19% (4 days, 4 points)Silkeborg: 19% on 2026-05-03Tie: 20% (4 days, 4 points)Tie: 20% on 2026-05-03Odense: 57% (4 days, 4 points)Odense: 57% on 2026-05-03
Silkeborg19¢Tie20¢Odense57¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 4d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

What moved the line

  • May 3Odense5pp5257¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 22 min ago.