Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Leader sits at 75% across 5 bound outcomes, runner-up at 14%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Anthropic
Outcomes
5
winner-take-all
Runner-up
14¢
Spread
61pp
dominant leader
24h volume
$53
thin orderbook
Closes
May 31, 2026
22 days
Venue
Polymarket
5 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On): Google
0x54932d…deda
Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On): Anthropic
0xc83cce…82db
Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On): Alibaba
0x7d65ed…39c3
Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On): OpenAI
0xac1f8e…4b54
Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On): xAI
0x8179cd…b6a5
What moved the line
- May 7Alibaba↓4pp8→4¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in technology
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- What will Bernie Sanders say during The Existential Threat of AIyeslast 79% · 4d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.