HIGH·BUY YES·macroApr 6, 2026
Gas Prices Above $4.13 This Week Is a Near-Certainty, Priced at 1.5¢
Kalshi gas price markets for the week of April 6 are pricing $4.13+ at just 1.5 cents and $4.14+ at 1 cent — an absurd discount given crude just surged 12% and the national average was already approaching these levels before the oil spike. The edge data shows 88-90 cents of executable edge. This is a near-arbitrage given the oil move has already happened. Buy all tranches aggressively.
edge88¢
horizon1w
directionBUY YES
markets3
Catalyst
AAA weekly gas price report published April 6-7; crude already +12% which flows into retail pump prices within 3-5 days
Risk
AAA methodology or reporting lag means the weekly average captures pre-spike data only, leaving prices below threshold
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