Hormuz Warship Markets Massively Mispriced — US Navy Already Mobilizing

Polymarket prices US warships through the Strait of Hormuz at just 12.5¢ despite USO surging 12%, Iran invasion odds at 55-60%, and active US naval posturing in the region. The edge here is 77-82 cents — one of the largest cross-venue mispricings in the dataset. With oil already moving and geopolitical escalation accelerating, the market is anchored to a pre-crisis prior. Buy yes aggressively.