Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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sf trade 0x1529edbafb824abafb135b50229badd58d073215c8f965ede564be9fbd120fe1 yes 100