Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of April?

The 91¢ price reflects an extremely tight timeframe with only 11 days to expiry, yet the massive disparity between Yes yield (319%) and No yield (32,610%) signals severe mispricing or illiquidity concerns on the downside. With $4M open interest but only $60.7K in 24-hour volume, the market lacks depth to support the implied probabilities, and the 5¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price. The cliff risk index of 10 and neutral regime suggest this is a binary event with minimal historical precedent to guide pricing, making the 91¢ level potentially unstable if new information emerges before April 30, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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