Will Masyn Winn win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?
Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will Masyn Winn win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Polymarket, closing December 19, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 61¢ spread despite $1.08k open interest, suggesting the 31¢ price may not reflect true consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 61¢ spread despite $1.08k open interest, suggesting the 31¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The 314% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and likely a mispricing artifact of the wide bid-ask gap rather than genuine arbitrage opportunity. With 247 days to expiration and a realized volatility of 1,422%, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal trading activity rather than an efficiently-priced market.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x22655faa19c71bfa59c0f4f2d97252339e56e197953e206c70d3b3f392c5026e yes 100