What is the current probability for "Theo James announced as next James Bond?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 1¢ (1% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 30, 2026.

Where can I trade "Theo James announced as next James Bond?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Theo James announced as next James Bond?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Theo James announced as next James Bond?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

1¢mid

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $359.241·OI $4,464.322·Closes Jun 30, 2026

0x2d116412f432cdb566c6eb4f0f35cf36c9842998085e13a5a0a2a6c01907b837

7-day price181 snapshots · 1 regime

13¢1¢ current

Apr 110¢Apr 21

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 3¢(Δ -2¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.72IY 873.6%Close-time delta 30759h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.409

Spread

0¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 6:37:02 PM

Observability mediumEvent type cultural

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x2d116412f432cdb566c6eb4f0f35cf36c9842998085e13a5a0a2a6c01907b837 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →