Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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50¢
Bid/Ask 4/96¢·Spread 92¢·Vol $0·OI $6.5·Closes Jun 30, 2026·62d remaining
0x3ba33ab25533500c51823066e91beff79b46e1618deab32823c5871f0c0bf066

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 584.2%
IY (No) 584.2%
Adj IY 292%
CRI 1
Overround 3.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)584.2%
IY (No)584.2%
Adj IY292%
CRI1
Overround3.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
92¢
Computed
4/28/2026, 12:45:27 PM
Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 12:38:09 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x3ba33ab25533500c51823066e91beff79b46e1618deab32823c5871f0c0bf066 yes 100

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