Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Prediction markets currently give a 78% probability that Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?. This contract trades at 78¢ on Polymarket, closing May 23, 2026.

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78¢

Bid/Ask 75/80¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $427.117·Closes May 23, 2026·23d remaining

0x4b93dc2f9fb0cd0d4e4a1adfaa24e185e6945b7842eaffec9ff641654ab41b4b

7-day price100 snapshots · 30 regime

80¢78¢ current

Apr 2550¢Apr 30

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 75¢(Δ +3¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 31.3%Close-time delta 8774h

Resolution rules

The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed show that wins the Anime of the Year Award at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed show whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 453.7%

IY (No) 5702.9%

Adj IY 5703%

CRI 4

RV 875%

VR 3.15

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	453.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	5702.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5703%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	875%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.15	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 7:36:55 AM

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 7:23:56 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x4b93dc2f9fb0cd0d4e4a1adfaa24e185e6945b7842eaffec9ff641654ab41b4b yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

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