Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 66¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
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66¢Bid/Ask 63/69¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $193.837·OI $331.348·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x4c2a219c18fc5acb51f6ef1bba7ae85a10fc8c1e3976fc3bfd013f0e9bf644af
7-day price308 snapshots · 2 regime
73¢66¢ current
Apr 854¢Apr 21
Cross-venue
Also on kalshi at 27¢(Δ +39¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:48:32 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:38:18 AM
Trade
View on polymarket →
sf trade 0x4c2a219c18fc5acb51f6ef1bba7ae85a10fc8c1e3976fc3bfd013f0e9bf644af yes 100