Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 47% probability that Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 47¢ on Polymarket, closing June 16, 2026.

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47¢
Bid/Ask 45/49¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $38·OI $20,257.806·Closes Jun 16, 2026·55d remaining
0x6f78fd69fd6dafb695a8f4074dac11971b1da612bd150aa0c837efbd86417292
7-day price683 snapshots · 2 regime
56¢43¢ current
Apr 828¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 45¢+2¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.92IY 228.1%Close-time delta 3375h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 880.3%
IY (No) 501.0%
Adj IY 440%
CRI 1
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)880.3%
IY (No)501.0%
Adj IY440%
CRI1
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:54:56 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x6f78fd69fd6dafb695a8f4074dac11971b1da612bd150aa0c837efbd86417292 yes 100

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