Will Alex Bregman win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 75¢ spread despite modest $1,397 open interest, making the 38¢ price potentially unreliable. The 231% implied yield on the yes side and extraordinary 996% realized volatility suggest this is a highly speculative, thinly-traded position rather than an efficient market, with the high info arrival rate (3.6/h) indicating sporadic trading activity driving outsized price swings. With 247 days to expiration and Bregman's actual 2026 performance still largely uncertain, traders should be cautious about treating this price as a genuine probability estimate given the severe liquidity constraints.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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