Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 78% probability that Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 78¢ on Polymarket, closing August 1, 2026.

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78¢
Bid/Ask 72/84¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $4,499.3·Closes Aug 1, 2026·101d remaining
0x73ff7789989688f99810a16020072cadd8cc7770a1912045f5db08c13fc32382
7-day price235 snapshots · 2 regime
83¢75¢ current
Apr 1071¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 114.2%
IY (No) 1144.8%
Adj IY 572%
CRI 3
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)114.2%
IY (No)1144.8%
Adj IY572%
CRI3

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
12¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:59:56 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x73ff7789989688f99810a16020072cadd8cc7770a1912045f5db08c13fc32382 yes 100

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