Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?. This contract trades at 28¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region. Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify. The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count. Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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sf trade 0x78f9e1cb1f55ca7b961ce1303d55f5b68bd7821b2cce33fe64229ffde7dc4396 yes 100