Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 18¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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18¢
Bid/Ask 4/31¢·Spread 27¢·Vol $0·OI $51.741·Closes Jun 30, 2026·62d remaining
0x7ddaa807ca7fe702e7e26c22d48a77a971cfc734ad63a9c278156105e9b22e74
7-day price3 snapshots · 2 regime
49¢19¢ current
Apr 2819¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 608.1%
IY (No) 561.3%
Adj IY 304%
CRI 1
Overround 3.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)608.1%
IY (No)561.3%
Adj IY304%
CRI1
Overround3.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
27¢
Computed
4/28/2026, 12:45:36 PM
Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 12:38:09 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x7ddaa807ca7fe702e7e26c22d48a77a971cfc734ad63a9c278156105e9b22e74 yes 100

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