Will Jailton Almeida be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that Will Jailton Almeida be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 13¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

█████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
13¢
Bid/Ask 0/25¢·Spread 25¢·Vol $0·OI $5,071.46·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x85fc9c4c0f59daf24c49b7a8d8c1b689eeca50282c4c7c3c004b8905ec54a7de
7-day price239 snapshots · 1 regime
15¢13¢ current
Apr 86¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at ¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 965.6%
IY (No) 21.6%
Adj IY 483%
CRI 7
Overround 0.8%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)965.6%
IY (No)21.6%
Adj IY483%
CRI7
Overround0.8%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
25¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:55:49 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x85fc9c4c0f59daf24c49b7a8d8c1b689eeca50282c4c7c3c004b8905ec54a7de yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions