Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?. This contract trades at 18¢ on Polymarket.

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18¢
Bid/Ask 16/19¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $832.62·OI $14,890.236·195d remaining
0x8c9b8ad3a64088a06d45e0b296a9a836203bc7f3ef35d134c57abead446a8b72
7-day price243 snapshots · 30 regime
24¢18¢ current
Apr 88¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 852.9%
IY (No) 41.1%
Adj IY 426%
CRI 5
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)852.9%
IY (No)41.1%
Adj IY426%
CRI5

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:58:47 AM
Observability lowEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x8c9b8ad3a64088a06d45e0b296a9a836203bc7f3ef35d134c57abead446a8b72 yes 100

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