Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.2M open interest, and the 47¢ spread suggests significant pricing uncertainty around Harris's 31% odds. The realized volatility of 3778% and implied yield of 329% on the yes side indicate highly speculative positioning, though the neutral regime and modest 2 cliff risk index suggest the market hasn't yet reacted to major injury news or performance developments. With 247 days to expiry, the market has ample time for Harris's 2026 season performance to materialize, but the lack of recent price discovery (down from 36¢ seven days ago) combined with minimal trading activity raises questions about whether these odds reflect genuine conviction or stale positioning.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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