Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Cooper Flagg is priced at 70¢ with just 30 days until expiry, reflecting strong market confidence in his Rookie of the Year candidacy, though the 319% realized volatility suggests significant uncertainty remains despite the high probability. The extreme implied yield on the "No" side (2997%) indicates minimal liquidity for contrarian bets, with only $21.6M open interest supporting what should be a heavily traded market given the award's prominence. With 2.0 information arrivals per hour and a neutral regime, the market is actively processing new data—likely draft performance, preseason metrics, and injury updates—though the tight 0¢ spread and stable 7-day price (72¢ to 71¢) suggest consensus is holding firm around Flagg's frontrunner status.

Resolution rules

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

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