Will Kevin Kiermaier win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.5M open interest, reflected in the unusually wide 78¢ spread and extraordinarily high realized volatility of 3,803%. The 41¢ price implies a 41% probability for Kiermaier to win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove, but the 212.8% implied yield on the yes side suggests significant mispricing or that traders expect substantial price movement before the December 2026 expiration. With 247 days remaining and minimal recent price movement (39¢ to 41¢ over seven days), this appears to be a speculative position with very thin order books rather than an actively traded market.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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