Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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2¢
Bid/Ask 1/4¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $11.11·OI $2,338.326·Closes Apr 30, 2026·8d remaining
0xb4aab54fc6b101cbfd9dc56f96b093751f044f5f7057e5b089b50e1c5d1420cb
7-day price75 snapshots · 3 regime
5¢4¢ current
Apr 221¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 81¢-79¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.91IY 994.5%Close-time delta 23h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 90523.4%
IY (No) 250.8%
Adj IY 54314%
CRI 19
RV 17460%
VR 3.66
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)90523.4%
IY (No)250.8%
Adj IY54314%
CRI19
RV17460%
VR3.66
IAR10.3/h
Overround0.1%
LAS0.40

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:27:25 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:08:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb4aab54fc6b101cbfd9dc56f96b093751f044f5f7057e5b089b50e1c5d1420cb yes 100

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