Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
0xbfdfc3203db5e82c5f9d8c051cb620e377238116e31d4fe7f3346dec4a02b66b · closes Aug 18, 2026 · 125 days remaining
Price
Last
6¢
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$12,674.395
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 4574.1% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 18.6% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 16 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.17 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 1906% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
54 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/14/2026, 11:48:18 PM
About this market
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0xbfdfc3203db5e82c5f9d8c051cb620e377238116e31d4fe7f3346dec4a02b66b yes 100