U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?. This contract trades at 13¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
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13¢Bid/Ask 9/17¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $5.882·OI $31,577.79·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xc77d51450d7d97d1239b003889d0899410c68c383378d65aabf04b77666a4488
7-day price41 snapshots · 4 regime
21¢13¢ current
Apr 912¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 2:01:52 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:53:18 AM
Trade
View on polymarket →
sf trade 0xc77d51450d7d97d1239b003889d0899410c68c383378d65aabf04b77666a4488 yes 100