Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-22?
Prediction markets currently give a 27% probability that Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-22?. This contract trades at 27¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $780 open interest, and the price has collapsed 47¢ to 32¢ over the period, suggesting either new information about San Diego FC's prospects or a lack of active traders.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $780 open interest, and the price has collapsed 47¢ to 32¢ over the period, suggesting either new information about San Diego FC's prospects or a lack of active traders. The implied yield of 11,447% on the Yes side is nonsensical and reflects the thin 8¢ spread and minimal trading activity rather than genuine expected returns. With only 7 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this market is approaching resolution but remains essentially illiquid for practical trading purposes.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If San Diego FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (7)▼ Full indicator table (7)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 15408% |
| CRI | 3 |
| RV | 214% |
| VR | 0.05 |
| IAR | 0.4/h |
| Overround | 0.0% |
| LAS | 0.04 |
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xd2941c788ad6b2f2a5d07c4b296879b5fc69fb6a84d0e88d9ed11f6fbebf780f yes 100