Will Jonah Tong win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 9¢ spread despite only $2,035 in open interest, suggesting very thin order books on both sides. The price has collapsed dramatically from 33¢ to 5¢ over seven days, indicating either new negative information about Tong's prospects or simply a lack of sustained interest in the contract. The astronomical 2810% implied yield on the "Yes" side reflects the low price floor rather than genuine expected value, and with 247 days until expiry, the high cliff risk index (19) suggests significant uncertainty about whether Tong will even qualify as a rookie in 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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