Simple Functions

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Prediction markets currently give a 89% probability that Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?. This contract trades at 89¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2025.

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89¢
Bid/Ask 89/90¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $4,586.226·OI $4,385.874·Closes Dec 31, 2025
0xe5e07c8460e955855d6d8335beafb6a0e001e8ab6b3bf02786ba2d5e53a3fd9a
7-day price39 snapshots
89¢89¢ current
Apr 885¢Apr 19
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 88¢(Δ +1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 19.6%Close-time delta 8775h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:30:26 AM
Observability mediumEvent type cultural

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xe5e07c8460e955855d6d8335beafb6a0e001e8ab6b3bf02786ba2d5e53a3fd9a yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →