What is the current probability for "Will Fujian win CBA?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 38¢ (38% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 12, 2026. 226 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Fujian win CBA?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 168.4% and 155.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Fujian win CBA?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Fujian win CBA?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 38% probability that Will Fujian win CBA?. This contract trades at 38¢ on Polymarket, closing December 12, 2026.

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38¢

Bid/Ask 1/75¢·Spread 74¢·Vol $0·OI $6.117·Closes Dec 12, 2026·226d remaining

0xf185379471af02cb864069dac0a9d04e2de8033d1fc6ad7903c0a9feaf4d1ca4

7-day price357 snapshots · 1 regime

50¢49¢ current

Apr 2537¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 168.4%

IY (No) 155.4%

Adj IY 84%

CRI 1

Overround 8.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	168.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	155.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	84%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	8.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

74¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 9:39:43 AM

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 9:38:53 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xf185379471af02cb864069dac0a9d04e2de8033d1fc6ad7903c0a9feaf4d1ca4 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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