Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)

This market has collapsed 70% over seven days (46¢ to 14¢), pricing Inter Miami's -2.5 spread victory at just 14% probability with only 6 days to expiry and zero 24-hour volume. The extreme implied yield of 37,664% on the Yes side and realized volatility of 7,191% suggest either a dramatic shift in betting sentiment or potential liquidity crisis, though the $87.9k open interest and 13¢ bid-ask spread indicate the market hasn't fully dried up. With a Cliff Risk Index of 6 and the game scheduled for April 22, this appears to be a contrarian opportunity or a sign that the market has repriced Inter Miami's chances downward significantly.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for April 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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