Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

0xf7327ee0a2475c2c9b4a1ac7bb4e1b49fce57c2a33ebf704e03630ec800f2944 · closes May 16, 2026 · 31 days remaining

Price

Last

71¢

Bid

69¢

Ask

73¢

Spread

4¢

24h Volume

$10

Open Interest

$8,326.316

Indicator Stack

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	504.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)	2746.0%	Annualized return on the NO side
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EE	—	Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.10	Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVR	—	Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV	272%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR	1.21	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY	2471%	Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VR	—	VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

7-Day History

262 indicator snapshots · 9 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score

0.409

Label

neutral

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/14/2026, 11:48:32 PM

About this market

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

How to trade

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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0xf7327ee0a2475c2c9b4a1ac7bb4e1b49fce57c2a33ebf704e03630ec800f2944 yes 100