Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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17¢
Bid/Ask 15/18¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $2,384.654·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xfe0f6cdd4da99a36efce7516e02787672e0eacffa668e243f18e038f2e797e40
7-day price50 snapshots · 4 regime
17¢17¢ current
Apr 1014¢Apr 18
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 14¢+3¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94IY 884.0%Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 704.6%
IY (No) 29.6%
Adj IY 290%
CRI 5
Overround 0.1%
LAS 0.18
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)704.6%
IY (No)29.6%
Adj IY290%
CRI5
Overround0.1%
LAS0.18

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 2:00:23 AM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xfe0f6cdd4da99a36efce7516e02787672e0eacffa668e243f18e038f2e797e40 yes 100

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