Will average **gas prices** be below $3.40 by Dec 31, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 68% probability that Will average **gas prices** be below $3.40 by Dec 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 68¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.
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68¢Bid/Ask 65/69¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $773.39·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.40
7-day price99 snapshots · 2 regime
65¢65¢ current
Apr 91¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.442
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:22:41 AM
SF edge 15.0¢ noObservability lowEvent type financial
Edges (1)
NO +15¢thesis — US military assets pinned in Middle East — largest deployment since 2003. Pacifi
Has thesisIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:08:17 AM
Trade
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sf trade KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.40 yes 100