Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 60,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere?

Prediction markets currently give a 88% probability that Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 60,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the w.... This contract trades at 88¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 671.5% implied yield on the Yes side.

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88¢mid
Bid/Ask 79/96¢·Spread 17¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·17d remaining
KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-60000
7-day price17 snapshots · 1 regime
80¢79¢ current
Apr 82¢Apr 20

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 671.5% implied yield on the Yes side. The 18¢ spread is notably wide relative to the price, and the recent 7-day movement from 63¢ to 72¢ suggests some traders believe a Kacey Musgraves release hitting 60,000 combined sales is more probable than the current 0% reflects, though the market remains essentially inactive. With 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 3, this appears to be a niche music chart prediction with insufficient trading activity to establish reliable pricing.

Resolution rules

If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 60,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 586.8%
IY (No) 8304.2%
Adj IY 4152%
CRI 4
Overround 7.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)586.8%
IY (No)8304.2%
Adj IY4152%
CRI4
Overround7.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
17¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 3:23:18 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 3:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-60000 yes 100

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