Will Bernie Sanders endorse Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral race before Nov 3, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 60% probability that Will Bernie Sanders endorse Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral race before Nov 3, 2026?. This contract trades at 60¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a dramatic 7-day price surge from 4¢ to 52¢, suggesting minimal real trading activity and high manipulation risk.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a dramatic 7-day price surge from 4¢ to 52¢, suggesting minimal real trading activity and high manipulation risk. The 0% current price contradicts the recent movement and 168% implied yield on the Yes side, indicating severe pricing inefficiency—likely reflecting thin order books rather than genuine market consensus. With 201 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, the market remains highly speculative and should be approached cautiously given the disconnect between historical price action and current quotes.
Resolution rules
If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral race before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-NRAM yes 100