What is the current probability for "Aurora vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 87¢ (87% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Aurora vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 390.9% and 17507.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Aurora vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Aurora vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 87% probability that Aurora vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Winner?. This contract trades at 87¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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87¢

Bid/Ask 86/88¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $7,536.84·OI $3,607.61·Closes May 12, 2026·14d remaining

KXBOLPDIVGAME-26APR27AURSAN-AUR

7-day price42 snapshots · 3 regime

85¢58¢ current

Apr 251¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Aurora wins the Aurora vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 390.9%

IY (No) 17507.8%

Adj IY 16501%

CRI 7

RV 2673%

VR 8.20

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	390.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	17507.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	16501%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	7	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2673%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	8.20	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.06	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 1:11:06 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 1:08:53 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXBOLPDIVGAME-26APR27AURSAN-AUR yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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