SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 4, 2027519 days left

Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$200 volume
$200 liquidity
211% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$95

Best sibling

Renan Santos 23¢

Ticker

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-MBOL

Price history

3¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 7¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
7¢200
83¢795
85¢54

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Michelle Bolsonaro finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 4, 2027

Identifier

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-MBOL

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at .

View counterpart

Event family

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$95

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Romeu Zema 32¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2274.9%

IY (No)

2.2%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

2.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2274.9%
2.2%
Adj IY
0%
32
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
2.33

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