Romeu Zema · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3
Romeu Zema is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3.
Price history
14¢ current
−12¢Contract brief
If Romeu Zema finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Romeu Zema
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Renan Santos 55¢
Range
3¢-55¢
Family volume
$476
Identifier
KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RZEM
Jun 24, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3
Closes
Oct 4, 2027
Family volume
$476
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Romeu Zema finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 4, 2027
Identifier
KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RZEM
Event family
KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$476
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Renan Santos 55¢
Current share
0%
Renan Santos
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RSAN
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-LSIL
Flávio Bolsonaro
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-FBOL
Romeu Zema
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RZEM
Eduardo Bolsonaro
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-EBOL
Ronaldo Caiado
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RCAI
Michelle Bolsonaro
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-MBOL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Your First Prediction Market Trade: End-to-End CLI Walkthrough
Step-by-step CLI tutorial for your first prediction market trade. Install, scan, create a thesis, find edges, check liquidity, place an order, and monitor — all from the command line.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 14% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.