Bitcoin price range on Apr 24, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Bitcoin price range on Apr 24, 2026?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market is pricing an extremely narrow Bitcoin range ($67,000-$67,499.99) at just 3¢ with a staggering 100,000% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting near-zero probability despite only 5 days to expiry.
Analysis
This market is pricing an extremely narrow Bitcoin range ($67,000-$67,499.99) at just 3¢ with a staggering 100,000% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting near-zero probability despite only 5 days to expiry. The $217.08 volume matching open interest exactly indicates minimal liquidity and potential illiquidity concerns, while the 32 Cliff Risk Index signals elevated binary outcome risk. The 2¢ spread is tight relative to the price, but the asymmetric implied yields (100,000% vs. 205.8%) and 50,000% risk-adjusted return suggest this range outcome is heavily underpriced or represents a tail-risk arbitrage opportunity.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 67000-67499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBTC-26APR2417-B67250 yes 100